Défense/Stratégie

Working Paper - HOW LONG CAN THE UNITED STATES STAY AS A SUPERPOWER?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
8/6/2024

Foreword

Superpower is a state or supranational union that holds a dominant position characterized by the ability to exert influence or exert power on a global scale through economic, military, technological and political means.

Working Paper - QUI EST L’AGRESSEUR ? SELON CARL SCHMITT ou SELON HANS KELSEN ? L’IMPACT DU CONFLIT UKRAINIEN SUR LA RELATION FRANCO-ALLEMANDE.

DIVERGENCE MACRON /SCHOLZ SUR LE ROLE DE L’AMERIQUE. Les Enseignements du capitaine de Gaulle in : « La discorde chez l’ennemi »
Auteur: 
Irnerio Seminatore
Date de publication: 
8/6/2024

TABLE DES MATIERES

- Qui est l’agresseur ? L’hostilité et l’intérêt vital

- La « Souveraineté » (C.Schmitt) contre la « Groundnorm » (H.Kelsen)
- Renforcement ou affaiblissement des alliances ?
- Contexte historique et évolution des alliances. 

Working Paper - THE END OF FRANÇAFRIQUE AND THE RETURN OF IMPERIALIST COMPETITION

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
25/5/2024

Foreword

For decades, France maintained control over its former African colonies by supporting local strongmen. The 2023 coups in Niger and Gabon against governments accused of being aligned with Paris show that the informal French empire is disintegrating.

Working Paper - A KOREAN-STYLE ARMISTICE TO END THE FIGHTING IN UKRAINE?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
13/4/2024

Foreword

The Russo-Ukrainian war risks following the usual pattern of other interstate conflicts since 1946: absent the end of fighting during the first year, conventional wars last over a decade on average. The most likely endings are a frozen conflict or cease-fire potentially sooner than a decade, and perhaps, over time, a negotiated armistice.

Working Paper - GLOBAL RISKS, CHALLENGES, BALLOTS AND BULLETS

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
24/3/2024

Foreword

2024 is a year of global risks, challenges, ballots and bullets.

Working Paper - QUO VADIS, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
25/2/2024

Foreword

Rarely a week passes without announcements that Artificial Intelligence (AI) has achieved new capabilities. Since the arrival of Generative AI, ChatGPT, and subsequent Large Language Models (LLMs)  discussion of AI's proliferating uses and their implications is increasingly visible in mainstream media.

Working Paper - L'EXERCICE « STEADFAST DEFENDER » 24 DE L'OTAN

UN EXERCICE « DE SEUIL » ENTRE UNE GUERRE À BUT LIMITÉ (UKRAINE) ET UNE GUERRE AUX BUTS ILLIMITÉS, OPPOSANT HEARTHLAND ET RIMLAND
Auteur: 
Irnerio Seminatore
Date de publication: 
25/2/2024

https://www.enderi.fr/L-exercice-steadfast-defender-24-de-l-OTAN_a1254.html

L’exercice et son « sens »

Working Paper - Que reste-t-il de l’idée d’Europe ?

Un adieu aux mythes d’égalité, prospérité et paix ?
Auteur: 
Irnerio Seminatore
Date de publication: 
11/2/2024

Que reste-t-il de l’idée d’Europe ? (sensemaking.fr)

Du « Manifeste de Ventotene (1941) » au « Traité de Rome (1957) »

Working Paper - AFRICAN CHALLENGES AND PROSPECTS

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
5/2/2024

Foreword

In recent years, conflicts and humanitarian crises have multiplied and intensified. Human rights and humanitarian law violations continued to deteriorate in 2023. And in the years to come, conflicts, impacts of the climate crisis and economic inequalities will remain the main drivers of humanitarian needs.

Working Paper - GEOPOLITICS OF THE MEDITERRANEAN

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
5/2/2024

Foreword

The dynamics of the Mediterranean region are increasingly affected by the interplay of the US, Russian, and Chinese efforts to strengthen their respective regional positions. The US disengagement has led to a greater Russian and Chinese presence and to the growth of their influence at political, economic, and military levels.

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